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  • Indian Wells draw: Nadal, Federer dealt even hands

    3/11/09 2:54 AM | Ricky Dimon
    Indian Wells draw: Nadal, Federer dealt even hands The Indian Wells title is up for grabs--at least among a select few--after an apparently even draw throughout all four quarters of the tournament was revealed on Tuesday.

    Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer, both returning from recent physical problems, appear to have similar paths through the Masters Series Indian Wells tournament after the BNP Paribas Open draw came out on Tuesday afternoon.

    Nadal, who aggravated a knee injury in a Rotterdam loss to Andy Murray but bounced back to win two singles rubbers in Davis Cup play last weekend, is the top seed as the No. 1 player in the world. He will be a heavy favorite against anyone in his quarter of the draw, but at the same time he is in a section loaded with explosive talents. Either David Nalbandian or Tomas Berdych, who combine for a 5-4 record against Nadal, could present problems in the fourth round. Sixth-seeded Juan Martin Del Potro is a potential quarterfinal opponent for the Spaniard, but he could get bounced early if either Gael Monfils or Marat Safin gets hot.

    Federer's draw looks tough--but far from impossible--throughout. The world No. 2 could face Ivo Karlovic, who knocked him out in Cincinnati last summer, in the third round. James Blake, who stunned Federer at the 2008 Olympics, or Fernando Gonzalez are capable of a fourth-round upset if they are enjoying one of those days in which they go for broke with almost every shot and rarely miss. Nikolay Davydenko has only played two tournaments in 2009 due to a foot injury, so Fernando Verdasco--who has not taken the court since the Australian Open--is Federer's most likely quarterfinal opponent. Verdasco is a new player after last season's Davis Cup heroics and a rigorous off-season training program and he showed it with a semifinal performance Down Under.

    Murray, the No. 4 seed, is on a collision course with Federer for the semifinals. He, too, is dealing with his own issues, having been sidelined from Dubai and Davis Cup with a bad virus. The good news for Murray, however, is that he should be able to cruise into the second week of the tournament with no apparent danger until the fourth round. That's when the Scot could run into 20-year-old Marin Cilic, who already owns two ATP titles this season. One of two Frenchman--either Jo-Wilfried Tsonga or Gilles Simon--could be trouble in the quarterfinals. Murray, for sure, hopes that it will be Simon and not Tsonga.

    Novak Djokovic is Nadal's semifinal opponent if the tournament plays out according to seed. The chances of that happening in every single section, however, appear slim; especially given the difficulty of Djokovic's quarter. Radek Stepanek, who has won ATP titles in Brisbane and San Jose so far in 2009 and also came up big last weekend in Davis Cup, could send Djokovic packing in the fourth round. If the Serb survives to reach the quarterfinals, it will probably become even more taxing for him at that point. Both David Ferrer, who lost to Djokovic in the Dubai final but beat him in straight sets on clay in Davis Cup, and an in-form Andy Roddick are potential quarterfinal opponents. Roddick, who defeated Djokovic (by fourth-set retirement) in Melbourne, recently secured a title in Memphis and won two Davis Cup rubbers against Switzerland last weekend.

    Djokovic is the defending Indian Wells champion and he also reached the final a year earlier. Nadal has done no worse than semifinal appearances in thee of his four trips to Indian Wells and he won the title in 2007. Federer won three straight Indian Wells titles between 2004 and 2006 but he has failed to reach the final in each of the past two seasons. Murray has been to Indian Wells three times and made it to the semifinals in 2007, but went out early in both 2006 and 2008.



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Comments

I would love to see a little Nadal / Safin action, and Verdasco and the Fed.

smr , 3/11/09 3:49 AM


It's a bit depressing to read about so many injuries and illnesses - all at once - this early in the season.

tenstar , 3/11/09 3:52 AM


Well, there's a difference between missing events like Dubai and Davis Cup and missing Masters Series events and Grand Slams. Notice how everyone "mysteriously" got better just in time for Indian Wells.

I'm not too concerned about the (alleged) physical problems. At least not yet.

RickyDimon , 3/11/09 4:13 AM


the draw is quite interesting! maybe, verdasco will make some noice like he did in australia. he could run into federer! wouldn't that be a "sight for sore eyes." neither one has played since the australian open; i'm sure they are well-rested and ready to rumble!

memi , 3/11/09 5:22 AM


You are right memi. Good luck Verdasco!

jean , 3/11/09 6:07 AM


Good luck ROGER!

fofe , 3/11/09 12:12 PM


Novak's quarter is the easiest and I expect him to meet Nadal in the semifinal.
The bottom half is a lot trickier, I don't expect Federer to reach semi-final, although his quarter is fairly easy, too.
If Murray gets past Tsonga, he'll to through to the final.

noleisthebest , 3/11/09 12:51 PM


I pray Djoker could not even cross first round which looks difficult but its a game !!!!!!! Aamin !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

BEST OF LUCK ROGER !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

tomnjerry2 , 3/11/09 1:02 PM


I second the motion Ricky's "suspicion" on the presence of the top players (uninjured) after a period of withdrawals, defaults, walkovers by most of them recently.
We'll give them the benefit of the doubt... for the time being. I hope they TRY to play 'till the end of the tournament.

agf25agf , 3/11/09 1:10 PM


Are you sure you've got enough exclamation marks there, T&J?

noleisthebest , 3/11/09 2:29 PM


noleisthebest - I actually think Djokovic's is the hardest, but it's all balanced for the most part.

Djokovic cannot be enthused about the prospect of facing both Radek and Roddick.

RickyDimon , 3/11/09 3:03 PM


Since last time I was here, nothing has been changed, same people, same prognoses, bad vibration, just empty, selfish talk, with all my respect for the very few people over here, who're not biased, and actually tennis lovers, all my love for Nole and the other players such as Nadal, Simon, Tsonga, Verdasco...

gordana , 3/11/09 3:16 PM


Just keep in mind that its a game & anything can happen !!!!!!!!!!

I don't claim that its gonna happen as i have also mentioned that' "Which looks difficult"(which is referred to Djoker's first round loss).

If u don't expect that Roger will not make it to semis being ranked over Djoker so where is the problem if Djoker loses in the first round ????? Its very much possible.

Why, can't i expect something or do i need your approval to expect or post ??

tomnjerry2 , 3/11/09 3:18 PM


same gordona & same Nole -The looser.

tomnjerry2 , 3/11/09 3:26 PM


TJ, I agree. Problem is gordana is the one who..... 'gives the same prognosis, gives out bad vibrations, and talks 'selfish talk'..... (her own words - which of course don't apply to her!) Ha! What a joke! It's all projection. Let's just enjoy the show. It's just great news that everyone will be able to play and recovered from their injuries. Just great news. Enjoy it - that goes to you too gordana - you see - we're not all selfish.

malteser1 , 3/11/09 3:33 PM


Ricky, Nole "owns" both....

noleisthebest , 3/11/09 5:56 PM


owns who?

RickyDimon , 3/11/09 6:16 PM


gordona, don't you think all of this speculation is fun! it ignites the fire in some of us, but it keeps you coming back for more. isn't that just thrilling!

memi , 3/11/09 7:32 PM


Novak will play well. Aameen.

samprallica , 3/11/09 9:59 PM


Ricky:

Almost all the top players are in the doubles draw (save Djoko). When was the last time this happened? This is fantastic for the fans. Do you know why they all decided to play doubles at IW? Palm Springs too boring?

tenisbebe , 3/14/09 3:18 AM


tenisbebe - I agree. I am pumped for the doubles tournament. My favorite pairing might be Ancic and Tsonga, but I like a lot of them.

Funny that Bryan Brothers are playing Federer/Allegro in the first round. And winner plays Nadal/Lopez!

RickyDimon , 3/14/09 5:37 AM


Yes, I saw the Bryans draw - the IW curse for them maybe. Fun, fun, fun!

tenisbebe , 3/14/09 6:13 AM



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