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Ricky Dimon

  • Approach Shots: Federer back on court for first time since U.S. Open

    2010-10-11 05:14:56

    “Approach Shots” is Ricky’s weekly look at what’s ahead (or “approaching”) on the ATP Tour. Every Sunday he previews all the tournaments scheduled for the upcoming week.

     

    Roger Federer will be back in action for the first time since the U.S. Open when he takes the court this week at the Shanghai Masters, and he will be joined by a star-studded field of players. This time last year, Federer was out with a back injury and Andy Murray was sidelined with a wrist problem. But—despite another grueling ATP season—there is no such trouble in 2010. Amazingly, every single one of the current Top 25 players in the world is playing this week in Shanghai.

     

    Shanghai Rolex Masters

     

    Where: Shanghai, China
    Surface: Hard
    Prize Money: $3,240,000
    Points: 1000

     

    Top Seed: Rafael Nadal
    Defending Champion:
    Nikolay Davydenko

     

    Draw Analysis: Not all draws are created equal, and that is certainly the case this week in Shanghai. Novak Djokovic already faces the tough task of having to play a rain-delayed Beijing final on Monday, and he has also been dealt the toughest path to the semis of the top four seeds. Look at the players in his bottom section of the draw: Djokovic, Tomas Berdych, Andy Roddick, Gael Monfils, Richard Gasquet, Ernests Gulbis, Philipp Kohlschreiber, Bangkok champion Guillermo Garcia-Lopez, and Beijing semifinalist Ivan Ljubicic.

    In fact, that quarter itself has arguably more in-form players than the entire top half of the draw. Good news for Murray and Rafael Nadal. Murray has a good opportunity to find his game this week, with a potential second-round matchup with Radek Stepanek followed by a possible third-round clash against Marcos Baghdatis or Alexandr Dolgopolov. Mikhail Youzhny and a rusty Jo-Wilfried Tsonga are the other seeds in Murray’s section.

    If Nadal gets derailed prior to the semis, it will likely be the result of fatigue from having already played in consecutive weeks as opposed to the result of a bad draw. The world No. 1 could have a difficult opener against either Gilles Simon or Stanislas Wawrinka, but the other seeds in the quarter are far from daunting (Nikolay Davydenko, Fernando Verdasco, Jurgen Melzer).

    If Verdasco is getting tired of being in Nadal’s sections, Soderling has had more than his fair share of matching up with Federer. But they are in line for yet another quarterfinal showdown; that is if Federer can shake off a month of rust and if Soderling can find his game that was on display in the spring and early summer. John Isner stands as a potential roadblock for Federer while Ferrer—who handled Soderling in Beijing—could run into the Swede in round three.

     

    First-Round Upset Alert: Feliciano Lopez over (12) Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. Lopez has enjoyed one of the most consistent seasons of his career and although he is not exactly on fire at the moment, he probably won’t have to be on Monday. Tsonga had not played since Wimbledon prior to last week and his comeback from a knee injury ended in a first-round Tokyo loss to Jarkko Nieminen. Unless the Frenchman suddenly gets it together, Lopez should prevail in what really would not be much of an upset.

    Also watch out for Michael Llodra against Ferrer. The 11th-ranked Spaniard has to play the Beijing final on Monday and he will have to face Llodra the very next day. That spells trouble, especially on a quick hard court. Roddick and Kohlschreiber have waged entertaining battles in the past and another thriller should be expected; another upset would also be far from surprising.

     

    Hot: Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Mikhail Youzhny, David Ferrer, Gael Monfils, Mardy Fish, Gilles Simon, Sergiy Stakhovsky, Andrey Golubev, Guillermo Garcia-Lopez

     

    Cold: Andy Murray, Nikolay Davydenko, Tomas Berdych, Fernando Verdasco, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Marin Cilic, Juan Monaco, Thomaz Bellucci, Andreas Seppi, Lukasz Kubot, Ernests Gulbis

     

    Quarterfinal predictions: Davydenko over Nadal, Murray over Youzhny, Federer over Ferrer, and Djokovic over Roddick

    Semifinals: Davydenko over Murray and Federer over Djokovic

     

    Final: Federer over Davydenko

     

    Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!

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Comments

davy over nadal???? Hilarious prediction mr. Dimon

vrael , 10/11/10 6:02 AM


vrael-I agree. If davy was in good form,maybe...but he isnt.

tj600 , 10/11/10 6:24 AM


Roger's chocolate CM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NChuiwwpr6Q

lovely

+
Roger and Nadal: Fit of Laughter During Shooting

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=94xyOpETYYs

funny

tennisnba , 10/11/10 6:52 AM


Sickness and injury. MONO, sick of lung. etc. Slump.. And, Age. Marriage. Kids.

Roger have a many difficult problem. However, can be got over again. Roger is a tough draw. But, I expect a good game. go Roger

tennisnba , 10/11/10 6:54 AM


then who is going to advance out of the top half?

cause it certainly isn't going to be Rafa

and Murray is looking AWFUL

RickyDimon , 10/11/10 7:43 AM


rafa is gonna make the semis atleast...tht means davy wont beat rafa..nd thts how far ill try to predict....federer winning shanghai is probable...i think rafa's battery will run out after he make's the semis

vrael , 10/11/10 7:55 AM


Hooray, hooray, Ricky is NOT picking Andy for this one ;)

deuce , 10/11/10 8:00 AM


Mr.Dimon, you picked Davy cold and Rafa hot then picked Davy over Rafa.
Does it make any sense?
Since it is a masters 1000 event Rafa wouldn't let it go easily I believe...

arwen , 10/11/10 8:43 AM




Mr.Dimon, you picked Davy cold and Rafa hot then picked Davy over Rafa.
Does it make any sense?
Since it is a masters 1000 event Rafa wouldn't let it go easily I believe...

arwen , 10/11/10 8:43 AM

Exactly arwen! Two people in his 'cold' category - Davy and Murray are the ones he's tipped to make the SF. I am ROFL whilst typing this. Not only that, he says Murray is looking 'AWFUL'.

nadline , 10/11/10 9:20 AM


lol, Ricky's could be right in a weeks time, but his picks sound hilarious at the moment, TBH

Agree with vrael, Rafa definitely will make the SF, and he wont have to beat Davy in the QF's I guess. Rafa reaching the finals is difficult to predict as he might run out of gas at that stage of the tournament, but never count him out!!

I think Djokovic or Federer/Soderling will win this one. Djokovic is favourite in my mind despite the tough draw and what happned last week in Beijing. This is his part of the season. He has done well at this time of the year in the past and there is no reason he cannot do the same in 2010.

atul1985 , 10/11/10 9:36 AM


Well, Tsonga did get it together, beating Lopez in straight sets.

nadline , 10/11/10 9:56 AM


Ricky,

I don't understand why you said Rafa is hot and AndyM is cold but Rafa will lose and AndyM will win in the quarters.

phoenix , 10/11/10 11:48 AM


Ooooops. I should remind myself to always read the comments first before posting. :-(

phoenix , 10/11/10 11:53 AM


No one reacts on the prediction Federer for the win? I don't think so, he has not played in a while..
I personally hope he goes out in the QF or SF, so he comes rested to Stockholm and so I can see him in the semis against Berdych :-)

bjawad , 10/11/10 11:58 AM


Ricky,

I enjoyed reading your analysis for sure. The most funny & concurred part is "If Verdasco is getting tired of being in Nadal?s sections, Soderling has had more than his fair share of matching up with Federer." what you said.
Seriously, tt is unbelievable that each of these two guys fall into exactly the same quarter like they are bonded to Nadal or Federer, no matter which part of the four quarters Nadal or Federer occupy.

I'm very pleased that you picked Federer as the winner!
Come on Roger!

Colleen , 10/11/10 12:03 PM


bjawad,

no one reacted because we all know that Roger is capable to win it all. Aside from that, he spent almost a month time practising with what Paul have coached him that's why I suspected that those statement of Roger that "in his best he has no trouble beating everyone and can dominate". That is the hissing words of Anaconda to Roger.

You just pray hard that Roger can really dominate at least win this event, otherwise he'll be toasted again along with his fans here at least in TT.

Roger is like Zuma with an Annaconda in his shoulder .... hizzing !!!

Raindrops , 10/11/10 12:08 PM


If Rafa gets past his first match - Wawrinka or Simon could be very tricky for him as a first match - I think he makes the finals, and I think Djoko takes Fed out then bests Nadal to win. Djoko's fit and healthy and full of confidence (is confidence the new momentum?)

Davydenko is a money player and he seems to scent it this time of year but he hasn't looked good in quite awhile. Soderling's also traditionally good indoors. He might take Fed out...

Ramara , 10/11/10 1:57 PM


Ramara, I don't think Fed is that vulnerable to lose a match to a particular player, no matter how good he is, back-to-back. That's why I can't imagine Fed to Djoker again. The SF of US Open was a really close match and Fed was not even playing great there. He rather played poorly on that day.

I'm confident Fed will take this one.
Oh, and I expect Soderling to be dismissed by Ferrer. So Sod will not have a chance to meet Fed in Shanghai.

P.S.: Yes. Confidence seems a big momentum especially 4 Djoker. :D

Colleen , 10/11/10 2:21 PM


Nadal is not going to go far in a tournament when he is playing for the third time in three weeks

Murray's draw is a joke

this is not hard to figure out

RickyDimon , 10/11/10 2:35 PM


I think Ferrer may be out early, as he may be tired now after so much running he did during this Asian swing. I expect Sod to meet Fed in the QF and gets hammered by Fed. If Nole can make it to meet Fed in the semi, I like Nole's chances against Fed. Nole, together with Rafa, are now at the top of their game; if both can make it to the semis, I think they are good enough to make it to the final. This time, I'm confident that Rafa will beat Nole again if they meet.

luckystar , 10/11/10 2:35 PM


@ Colleen,

I thought Roger has lost this year to Berdych Back-to-Back during Miami and Wimbledon? Tomas almost triplicate the feat at Toronto if he didn't choke while serving for the macth at 5-3 in 3rd set.

Raindrops , 10/11/10 2:52 PM


In that case Ricky, you should have had Rafa is your cold category, because as far as you are concerned, he was hot up to when he took the title in Tokyo, but has now gone cold, because in your opinion, this is his 3rd tournament in a row, and you think that's pretty obvious.

It looks a little bit weird to predict that one of your 'hot' contenders, is not going to get very far.

nadline , 10/11/10 3:22 PM


Apart from his freak loss to G-Lo and the sets Troicki & Djoko took off him Rafa has hardly had a break point against his serve since the 1st round of the USO, that must be scary for any opponent facing him this week.

nadline , 10/11/10 3:29 PM


nadline - what about this do you not understand?

current form (hot/cold) does not always dictate the outcome of every single tournament

how did Baghdatis and Berdych lose in the first round of the US Open? Because they were playing bad tennis? Heck no, they were both on fire this summer.

RickyDimon , 10/11/10 3:42 PM


And so Ricky, which category do you place Federer in? I notice that he is not in your "hot/cold" categories yet you predict him to win.

Monalysa , 10/11/10 4:05 PM


Confidence matters more than wear, so I think Rafa will be in the semis at least. Maybe if he had won in Bangkok I'd say no, but clay is more physically demanding than HC and there he won three in a row before winning the French Open.
Fatigue has not been as much of a problem for Rafa as knee trouble, foot blisters and an abdominal tear. If all is well otherwise, he can recover really fast.
Davydenko is not playing as well as last year when he won the tournament by beating a Nadal, who was still coming out of injury.
As you may remember, a certain TT poster predicted back then that Nadal would NEVER win a tournament again.
I think this final will be a repeat of the US Open, and Rafa will beat Nole after two tough sets.

grafight , 10/11/10 4:10 PM


most players are not particularly hot or cold. Federer is in decent form, nothing special but also not bad.

Certainly in good enough form to win a tournament during the fall Asian swing.

RickyDimon , 10/11/10 4:27 PM


Ricky, dont let Federer hear you, cause as far as he's concerned he is in good enough form now to beat anyone on tour!!!!........lol!!

Monalysa , 10/11/10 4:32 PM


Ricky, what I don't understand is why you've bothered to say who is hot or cold if it is all irrelevant to the outcome of the tournament. Maybe you could enlighten me on that.

I always thought that the in-form players were always the ones given the odds to win, not the other way round.

nadline , 10/11/10 4:33 PM


Nadal - irrelevant to the tournament? All I'm saying - telling you - is that current form is not the end all be all of tennis. If it was, this sport would not be interesting. Nadal would not have lost to GGL. Baghdatis would not have lost to Clement. I could go on and on.

Well, you thought wrong. De Bakker wasn't favored over Verdasco even though De Bakker is in great form and Verdasco is in terrible form. If you checked the odds before the match, you know Verdasco was still favored.

RickyDimon , 10/11/10 5:22 PM


You shouldn't get riled up over Ricky's predictions. He sucks pretty badly at reading the game :D

samprallica , 10/11/10 5:30 PM


sampralica, I'm not al all riled, especially after Ricky's predictions for Wimby and USO were turned upside down, I just didn't see the logic of his predictions.

It's all good fun.

So many 'upsets' so far, I didn't think Nando would lose to De Bakker, or that Wawa would beat Simon so easily or that Baggy would go down to Chardy. Much as I am a big fan of Rafa's, I don't think that he will win every tournament he enters, that would be crazy, stumbling blocks do come across, and I wouldn't want Rafa to win any and everything either, that would be so boring, and I think players who toil year in year out, deserve a win every now and again.

Having said all that I don't like to see Rafa lose either, but he is human, so he is vulnerable like everyone else.

nadline , 10/11/10 6:15 PM


Ricky, actually you may have a point, because Rafa was 'cold' going into the USO, and look what happened, it's not that illogical after all.

nadline , 10/11/10 6:30 PM


@Colleen: This isn't an indoor tourney - my bad - so I'll assume Fed gets past The Sod but I'm still picking Djoko to win. I'm sensing something a little different about Djoko. Like he's matured. Maybe he's just really happy about Serbia making it to the DC finals. But maybe Fed's work with Annacone since the USO will have produced some new magic. Or some old magic. Some kinda magic is going to have to make Fed's shanking under pressure disappear if he expects to "dominate" again.

Ramara , 10/11/10 8:23 PM


Fish has been replaced in the draw by Gimeno-Traver.

nadline , 10/11/10 8:47 PM


If Rafa can get through the tough early rounds of this tournament, he will not lose to Davy in the quarterfinals. Davy simply is not even close to the form he was in last year at this time. I am assuming this pick was made on the assumption that Rafa will be fatigued after playing both Bangkok and Tokyo. I wouldn't count on it.

My belief is that Rafa's biggest test will be his first match with Wawa. The guy has been playing some great tennis, but Simon is not Rafa. I say that if Rafa gets through to the quarterfinals, and IF Davy is there, he will beat him. In fact, if Rafa can get there, I like his chances to win. Nole is playing extremely well right now, but he has a tough draw. If he can get through then he and Rafa could meet in the finals.

I just don't know how Fed will be after having been away. I am not convinced that he will win. Once I see him play, then I may have a better idea of where he's at.

Nativenewyorker , 10/11/10 10:52 PM


By my estimates Rafa has played 7 matches since the USO with only one of those (Troicki) pushing him. All the others have been quick straight set victories, save for the loss in Thailand - which was also straight sets! Plus he's had a few days here and there away from the court relaxing etc.

Federer has not played any matches since his loss at the USO.

I don't understand, why is Federer seemingly a better bet than Rafa??

cal23 , 10/12/10 12:41 AM


QF Nadal vs DeBakker; Youzhny vs Murray; SF top half - Nadal vs Youzhny
QF Soderling vs Federer; Djokovic vs Garcia-Lopez; SF bottom - Djoker v Federer
Final: Nadal vs Djoker

Perhaps - why not. GGL is hot now; DeBakker is playing well; Fed is unknown with lack of play; Nadal and Djoker are hot. Winner: Want Nadal but he should be exhausted by then; Sooooo, Nole.

patzin , 10/12/10 2:34 AM


cal23 - he lost to GGL in 3 sets

RickyDimon , 10/12/10 2:47 AM


Opps, sorry. But I still don't understand why this means that Rafa is "burnt out". Surely he would still be in pretty good shape coming into Shanghai??? Mentally, I can see that he may be overcooked a little but wasn't Thailand the result of that. Tokyo he looked like he was getting his head back in the game (except for the Troicki match).

I just think that a slightly overdone Rafa has a better chance of winning than an undercooked Federer - I must be hungry using all these "cooking" metaphors :)

cal23 , 10/12/10 3:06 AM


I would think that GGL would be pretty tired too and he doesn't have the stamina or mindset of Rafa.

I'm just really confused as to why there is a question mark over Rafa!!

cal23 , 10/12/10 3:27 AM


cal23,

I am with you about the question mark over Rafa. I sense that he is battling some mental fatigue, which would be perfectly understandable given what he has accomplished this year. This is a Master's tournament and Rafa isn't going to fold. For him this is about pride and making a statement that he is now a force to be reckoned with in the fall hardcourt season.

I take predictions for what they are - someone's opinion. I don't have to agree. Fed may well be motivated to win this because he wants that #2 ranking for year end. I just would not be comfortable predicting him winning before I even see one match. Nole is in great form, that we know. Even with a tough draw, I believe that he is playing with a great deal of confidence now. I see him getting to the semis and meeting Fed and that could be another great match. I say Fed will have to produce some great tennis to beat Nole.

As far as Murray is concerned, I think he is struggling quite a bit now and could lose to just about anyone. His draw isn't that bad, but the question is how is Murray? Is his head in the game now? Also, if Rafa and Murray do meet in the semis, there is no way that Rafa will let him win again.

Nativenewyorker , 10/12/10 3:50 AM


NNY,

I agree with you concerning Murray, not that I don't think he is capable but he just seems out of the loop at the moment.

Federer not having any match play seems a far more uncertainty than Rafa and Nole. If Federer is working on changing his game up a bit with Anacone then I would have thought that putting some of that into practice would have done him the world of good. This is what I think Rafa did at Cincy and Toronto, even though he didn't win either of those tournaments to me it seemed obvious afterwards that he was testing his new game out and figuring out what worked and what didn't.

Federer coming straight into Shanghai with a supposed "new" game untested may not be the best preparation, perhaps he should have used Beijing or Tokyo to see how it worked.

cal23 , 10/12/10 4:12 AM


If I were Anacone, I'd be concerned about my job, that is, if Fed does not do well at Shanghai.

Fed is one who likes to play himself into form, especially, if he's not been playing for a while, but at the Masters, it's not that easy an assignment, (even for Fed, whose form has been questionable this past year), as the Masters tourneys to win, a player has to play 5 matches in 7 days, and sometimes, the scheduling is lousy, due to TV time, which can place an added amount of pressure on the players with respect to recovery time between the SF and finals..

I don't see Davy making it to the QFs.Iif he doesn't start playing better, with the amount of points he has to defend, it appears as thouigh he'll be falling out of the top 10 by year's end. Hopefully, he'll be able to turn things around and remain a significant factor in the top 10.

Von , 10/12/10 6:54 AM


I'm just really confused as to why there is a question mark over Rafa!!

cal23 , 10/12/10 3:27 AM

cal23,
Haven't you noticed that there is always a question mark over Rafa? It doesn't matter what he does, he just has to lose a match and some people think he's anybody's. We can argue until the cows come home, putting Rafa's case, but those who doubt him, will continue to do so, until they see the print of the nail.

I remember pointing out that Wawa beating Murray at the USO wasn't such a big deal, because Wawa is no walkover, despite his ranking, but it was seen as such a big upset, shoch, horror! Now Wawa is seen as an obstacle to Rafa.............the mind buggles. The player who has won 7 titles this year, 5 more than his closest rivals, No 1 in the world by a mile, won the USO open with hardly a break point on his serve in 5 consecutive matches, won 3 GS in a row, has won the most Masters titles of all time, has more doubters than anyone in the game.

If Rafa had had such a dismal year as Federer has had, he would not be favourite for anything not even on clay, yet it doesn't seem to dampen people's belief in Federer.

Of course, the only thing that matters is what happens on Sunday.

nadline , 10/12/10 10:51 AM


nadline, "If Rafa had had such a dismal year as Federer has had, he would not be favourite for anything not even on clay, yet it doesn't seem to dampen people's belief in Federer."

Well that is because Federer is Federer, the eternal number 1 no matter what, always everybody's favorite for the win with the greatest game of all. The proven champion of the champions. LOL
Whereas the Nadal reign is only temporary, no matter how good and superior he is now. People are expecting it to fall apart anytime, and only become a parenthesis during the Federer era. Despite what happens on Sunday.
LOL


LOL = I'm of course ironic.

bjawad , 10/12/10 1:55 PM


Stan has the game to give any of the top players trouble, Rafa included BUT I don't believe Rafa is going into this tournament fatigued. He's coming off a confidence boosting win in Tokyo (which I don't believe zapped all his energy) and has had a few days to mentally prepare himself.


cal23 , 10/12/10 2:15 PM


Well, most here seem to agree that if Rafa gets past Wawa's early challenge, given Roger's likely rustiness and Murray's lack of form, Nole would be the top contender to win, given his current form and good history at this tournament. But wouldn't Nole be as tired as Rafa is?
At the US Open Nole fought an epic battle against Troicki in the first round. Another five-setter against Federer, even saving two match points in the fifth, and the final loss against Nadal, who made him run from side to side throughout the match. Then he played all the way through to win in Beijing in a final carried over to Monday because of rain delays... getting the picture?
So if Rafa comes to this tournament tired, Nole should be just as tired if not more.
I still see this tournament as a close repeat of the US Open semis and final scenario.

grafight , 10/12/10 4:26 PM


Maybe at this Shanghai Masters, we'll see the top four seeds into the semifinals again, just like the Toronto Masters this year. The difference now may be the top two seeds reaching the final, instead of the no.3 and no.4 seeds.

luckystar , 10/12/10 5:03 PM


Grafight: Rafa played Bangkok the week before Tokyo whereas Nole had the week off

SGHIceman , 10/12/10 5:23 PM


So do people think that Nole is in better form than Rafa? Nole has no history of winning Shanghai, he won the WTF there indoors, once, quite a different kettle of fish. Where is the history, it's not as if he's won there 4 times or so. Rafa made the finals there on one leg last year, with a stomach tear on top of that.

This is why I keep going on and on about this kind of glorification of every other player over Rafa, for every little bit of glory they may have, and Rafa's achievements are quickly forgotton and swept aside.

Thank goodness tennis matches are not decided by a panel of judges awarding points, I don't think Rafa would have won anything, because of so much lack of confidence in him.

nadline , 10/12/10 5:34 PM


"Well that is because Federer is Federer, the eternal number 1 no matter what, always everybody's favorite for the win with the greatest game of all. The proven champion of the champions. LOL"

@ bjawad,

So what do you call the player who has a lop-sided head-to-head against TMF?!


Monalysa , 10/12/10 5:37 PM


nadline, I think Rafa is never the favorite cause his demeanour before a tourney is such. He never underestimates anyone. Never takes for granted that he can win against a lesser player. This underplaying of himself tends to rub off on people.And thats why he is not the favorite going into a tourney. Thought it would change after the USO win. But alas..

vmk1 , 10/12/10 5:41 PM


vmk, you may be right. He start blowing his own trumpet, because no one else will blow it for him.

I like the way he just continues to confound the doubters. They keep moving the goal post, but he continues to score the goals.

nadline , 10/12/10 5:47 PM


grafight,

You make some excellent points. As far as SGHIceman's point about Nole not playing the week before Beijing, he played Davis Cup. So it's not like he has been sitting around doing nothing. The fact is that he has playing a lot of tennis.

I am with nadline in being frustrated at this incessant doubting and demeaning Rafa's chances. He just won Tokyo, yet many do not consider him one of the favorites for this tournament. It does boggle the mind. I don't think it has anything to do with Rafa talking down his chances, because he has always done that.

I think the one difference between Rafa and Nole is the fact that Rafa has won three slams in a row, getting the career grand slam. If it was easy to do it, the someone would have done it already. It has been 41 years since Laver did it and that was on two surfaces. That's why I think that Rafa may be battling a bit of mental fatigue, but that would be normal considering all that he has achieved. I think he's fine physically.

The prediction that shocks me is the one with Davy being Rafa in the quarterfinals. That makes absolutely no sense to me at all. Clearly, there is still a good deal of disrespect for Rafa in these fall hardcourt tournaments.

Nativenewyorker , 10/12/10 9:25 PM


Sorry, typos again in my previous post. The main one I need to correct is in the last paragraph. The one with Davy BEATING Rafa in the quarterfinals. Otherwise, that sentence makes no sense!

Nativenewyorker , 10/12/10 9:30 PM


TMF has had a "dismal" year only by his lofty standards. He's had the second best calendar year so far. Granted that's mainly because he won the AO which is awhile back.
Rafa has, of course, played tournaments for the past two weeks and admits to a bit of mental fatigue. He says he's practicing less than usual. Has anyone added up the actual time he's spent on court? His matches have been over pretty quickly. The commentators used to joke that he'd be out there for 2 plus hours even if he won love and love. Not so any more. I'll bet he's put in practice weeks that make the last 2 look like cakewalks.

Ramara , 10/12/10 9:47 PM


Cold Davidenko hoped to beat Hot Rafa in the QF, got beaten long before the QFs (by Mischa).

Augustina08 , 10/13/10 5:08 PM


hahahahahahahaha....davy over rafa....hahahaha

vrael , 10/13/10 5:54 PM


So Ricky, what's your new predictions?

fan4tennis , 10/13/10 5:56 PM


fan4tennis,

You beat me to it! That's what I was going to ask! When will Ricky learn not to pick against Rafa? That pick made absolutely no sense to me, given how Davy was playing. I wasn't even sure that he would get to the quarterfinals and, sure enough, he's gone already!

Nativenewyorker , 10/13/10 8:50 PM


NNY, when he picks against Rafa, it seems to bode well for Rafa--lol. I just happened to notice that alot of his picks have gone by the wayside so was wondering what his new line of thinking is. BTW, I don't bother predicting because I am probably worse than Ricky--lol. But always am rooting for Rafa!! VAMOS!!!!!!

fan4tennis , 10/13/10 9:11 PM


@nadline: according to the poll most people believe Rafa will dominate this fall. Otoh, there's ~100 people out there who think Thomas Muster will dominate. Or like to make stupid responses in polls. :-)

Ramara , 10/13/10 10:09 PM


fan4tennis,

I guess maybe Ricky picking against Rafa is like a good luck charm, since Rafa always wins! :)

I expect Ricky to now predict that if Rafa and Murray meet in the semis, that Rafa will lose. That's what he kept saying during the USO until Murray lost to Wawrinka in the third round. Then he decided to jump on the Rafa bandwagon!

I am not good at predictions and usually don't participate, but I will speak up when I feel strongly about a few players who I think have a good shot. I also have no problem speaking up when someone is foolish enough to pick Davy over Rafa these days!

Nativenewyorker , 10/14/10 3:59 AM


vrael - whats so funny? Davydenko and Nadal didnt play each other. So who knows who would have won.


Zverev FTW

RickyDimon , 10/14/10 4:15 AM


RICKY...davydenko lost tamely to zverev...and ur still saying "who knows wat wud hv happened if rafa and kolya played".....well rafa would have beaten him easy...thts wat wud hv happened...davydenko is nowhere his 09 form atm....and wat i found amusing was u picking him to reach the quarters and beat the KING.

vrael , 10/14/10 6:14 AM


fan4tennis,

I guess maybe Ricky picking against Rafa is like a good luck charm, since Rafa always wins! :) ---Nativenewyorker , 10/14/10 3:59 AM
---------------------------------------------------

NNY, with that statement of yours, I want to think that Ricky and ATR are the same person? :-]]

Raindrops , 10/14/10 7:07 AM


During Cincy or Toronto, Ricky predicted that Rafa would NEVER win the US Open this year, and look what happened?

Thanks Ricky. ;-)

phoenix , 10/14/10 7:37 AM


Ricky,

Zverev FTW over who? Monaco? That's who he has to play first!

Also, no fair saying that Davy and Rafa didn't play each other. Right! Because Davy didn't beat lesser players who came before Rafa! Come on! You cannot still be serious about defending that pick!

Raindrops,

Too funny! :-)

Nativenewyorker , 10/14/10 8:13 AM


there, there Ricky, it is not nice to go that far and underestimate Rafa so much and say that this Davy who lost to Zverev would have won against Rafa if they met...I think all these rightful comments on your idealistic or rather unrealistic utopist picks have gotten to you...relax man..

raindrops, you are hilarious...:)

natashao , 10/14/10 12:33 PM


who's laughing now?

i TOLD yall Nadal would lose early!

RickyDimon , 10/14/10 3:19 PM


Ricky, for once you're right in your prediction about Rafa losing early... I'm glad he did! It'll benefit him. LOL :)

jayhu , 10/14/10 3:44 PM


I could see this coming and I pointed out several times Rafa should have not played three consecutive tournaments and I also wished he skipped Shanghai...this schedule for him was just ridiculous considering how he started the season with the knee injury....what I found rather unusual in your predictions Ricky is that you saw Davy reaching finals...Davy hasn't find his form yet and is nowhere near his last year's form...that's all...

natashao , 10/14/10 4:24 PM


i didn't think he would, either

i just knew Nadal would lose early and I didn't see any other good option out of that section to pick reaching the semis and final

RickyDimon , 10/14/10 4:37 PM


well, Ricky, your reasoning behind it does make sense...:) who would expect Monaco to play QF..

natashao , 10/14/10 4:45 PM


@natashao , 10/14/10 4:24 PM
---I also wished he skipped Shanghai---

Shanghai Masters is a mandatory tournament for Rafa (and for any other player positioned in the Top 30 in ATP 2009 Rankings as of November 16, 2009).
Playing tennis is Rafa's job, he can't do everything he wants (or you want).

Augustina08 , 10/14/10 7:56 PM


Yes Ricky, you were tight. The law of averages would have had you predicting right after wimby and the USO :)

vmk1 , 10/14/10 8:04 PM


Rafa looked tired in Tokyo, I said he looked like he needed some sleep. Even at the presentation ceremony, he looked worn out, and wasn't as exuberant as someone who had just won a title.

I had to go to a funeral today, so I missed the match. That puts the whole thing into perspective, that it's only a game, and there is no need to be down-beat about a loss, life will go on, and Rafa will win plenty more matches, AND he can't win them all.

nadline , 10/14/10 9:49 PM


Blah blah... one prediction freakishly working out for Ricky doesn't change the fact that he sucks at it... besides, he predicted Rafa would lose to Davydenko and not Melzer. Nole FTW!

samprallica , 10/14/10 10:14 PM


Hi eveyyone,

I saw some part of Nadal's match today and it really looks like it was not THE RAFA.
As Ricky predicted despite of being in good form he may be knocked out earlier in the tournament.

I think Nadal will take care of all these things(burn out from multiple tournaments in a row) better from next year as we saw him skipping barcelona open.

I saw first set of fed's match against Seppi and almost whole match against Isner , he is playing good..

champ00289 , 10/15/10 12:25 AM


I'd actually like to see either Murray or Meltzer win this, Andy because he needs a good confidence building win and Meltzer 'cause, well, when you beat the best player in the world you deserve to make it to the finals at least :)

cal23 , 10/15/10 3:47 AM


When Rafa was not at his best, he tends to play defensively, that's why Melzer can beat him by playing aggressively. If Rafa can serve aces like in that Troicki match, things won't be that easy for Melzer. This loss will teach Rafa a lesson: don't play for three consecutive weeks on the hard courts, if not you're bound to suffer an early loss. It's physically very demanding to play three tournaments in three consecutive weeks.

Maybe this time we really can have a Nole/ Murray final. We miss that in Beijing.

luckystar , 10/15/10 5:03 AM


very much expected...its the davy beating rafa part that most of us disagreed with...rafa would have been beaten by any big hitter today imho...like an almagro or soderling could have beaten rafa as well yesterday...

its good that the KING has time to rest now...WTF is the only thing he needs now in his career

vrael , 10/15/10 5:57 AM


@champ00289 , 10/15/10 12:25 AM
---(burn out from multiple tournaments in a row)...we saw him skipping barcelona open---
Rafa won previous tournament (last week in Tokyo).
He received PRP treatment to his knee during the week of the Barcelona tournament.

Augustina08 , 10/15/10 6:05 AM


Augustina, what is your problem? We all know these facts that you keep pointing out but you just refuse to listen to normal, healthy arguments...all you hear is yourself...Rafa was foolish to play three weeks in a row and you may list all your evidences about these tournaments being mandatory you will prove nothing! It is called planning, developing smart schedule, avoiding to get exhausted and weary and it has always been done by top players to afford for the long seasons...Rafa played the most matches this year and with his fragile knees and treatments he was forced to receive during the year, playing three consecutive tournaments was so, so stupid!!! Live with that!

natashao , 10/15/10 9:02 AM


After watching the recording, Rafa simply didn't have his A game yesterday, and he wasn't too bothered about pushing his weary self for another 3 matches. So many times players beat Rafa when he is not really on his game, and they think they've cracked it, but the next time they meet Rafa shows them who is boss. As Rafa said in his interview, it's easy to play aggressive against me when I'm not playing well.

nadline , 10/15/10 9:30 AM


G-Lo doesn't have a hope against Djoko.

nadline , 10/15/10 9:33 AM


G-Lo is nowhere near the quality of Nole but he is not a good match-up for Nole as he can play long points and although he is likely to end up losing he will wear Nole down...

natashao , 10/15/10 9:39 AM


I hope Monaco takes revenge on Melzer on behalf of his friend good Rafa.

nadline , 10/15/10 9:48 AM


Vamos Monaco, although I think his chances are so small...:(

natashao , 10/15/10 12:07 PM


melzer not able to recover from the match with Rafa...he looks so worn down and nothing so far works for him as it did yesterday...if he continues like he will be sent packing and it's gonna be ,one minute of glory' for Melzer...Vamos Monaco!

natashao , 10/15/10 12:27 PM


and again, like his friend Rafa, Monaco with his own UEs allows Melzer back into the match...

natashao , 10/15/10 12:34 PM


melzer takes the first set...he is far bellow his yesterdays' level but it was sufficient to beat Monaco...well, let's face it: one should be a total looser to manage to beat Rafa and then lose to Monaco...

natashao , 10/15/10 1:16 PM


I guess Melzer is still in shock from having pulled off the unthinkable yesterday!

ed251137 , 10/15/10 1:51 PM


wow, what an effort from Monaco to break Melzer again!!! he is to serve for the second set...I hope he can finally pull this one out, he sure deserved it!

natashao , 10/15/10 2:16 PM


and there he goes! monaco takes the set! Now, even if Melzer wins this match he will be totaly wasted for semis and Murray will just wipe the floor with him...ouuups, what a bad luck for Mlz...

natashao , 10/15/10 2:22 PM


melzer's game is falling apart...he will be on his way home soon..Monaco is doing great...training with Rafa pays off eventually...:)

natashao , 10/15/10 2:44 PM


Monaco has taken revenge for Rafa. I think Melzer was getting a little bit cocky after beating Rafa, summoning the referee to complain about live music, arguing that it wasn't a rock concert, even though the umpire pointed out that the music is only played during the interval. He was beginning to think he owned the place. Now he knows what it's like to lose to someone you should beat.

Yes, alright it's sour grapes!

nadline , 10/15/10 3:14 PM


@nadline , 10/15/10 3:14 PM
---Monaco has taken revenge for Rafa---

That's what friends are for.

Augustina08 , 10/15/10 3:51 PM


Ha ha, that's what one gets for beating Rafa and then bump into one of his buddies. Good win by Monaco, happy for him that he can reach the semi, after coming back from injury.

luckystar , 10/16/10 7:16 AM


classy Roger. love you. go Roger

tennisnba , 10/16/10 10:14 PM


Sickness and injury. MONO, sick of lung. etc. Slump.. And, Age. Marriage. Kids.

Roger have a many difficult problem. However, can be got over again. Roger is a tough draw. But, I expect a good game. go Roger

..come back?? love you Roger

tennisnba , 10/16/10 10:17 PM


he lost again and got zero during Asian Swing...tsk tsk tsk. tic tac tic tac tic tac.

Raindrops , 10/17/10 12:47 PM


Hey, Rafa fans, I did not no where to put this but I recommend you read this Article... it is a real treat for our eyes...:)

Rafael Nadal is the best in all sport, not just tennis
Stand aside Tiger Woods and Usain Bolt, the Spaniard is king of the world

http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2010/oct/17/rafael-nadal -world-tour-finals

natashao , 10/17/10 1:18 PM


Tnx natashao.

nadline , 10/17/10 2:02 PM


poor Roger. is he tired ? great Andy. Still I love you Roger

tennisnba , 10/17/10 2:28 PM


Roger's chocolate CM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NChuiwwpr6Q

lovely

+
Roger and Nadal: Fit of Laughter During Shooting

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=94xyOpETYYs

funny

tennisnba , 10/17/10 2:30 PM


Thanks natashao for the link. Reading some of the comments there in the link made me laugh. Some people are just not happy that Rafa is named the best in all sports, and they argued the case for Fed. However they forget that we are talking about NOW, we are not talking about best of all time! Some even brought out Delpo beating a 'healthy' Rafa and Murray/Tsonga beating Rafa in 2008, as if one cannot be beaten by some players. Don't tell me Fed has not been beaten by other players. His beating was even worst than Rafa's, at least Rafa got 6 games in his worst defeat in a slam; Fed only managed 4!! So Fed's beatings at the hands of Rafa in the slams were not counted against Fed? While Rafa's at the hands of other players were to be counted? What double standard!! Sure some sour grapes out there!

luckystar , 10/17/10 2:42 PM


tennisnba - DO NOT make duplicate posts in different threads.

RickyDimon , 10/17/10 4:03 PM


---Final: Federer over Davydenko. Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!---

I'm satisfied with the actual result.

Augustina08 , 10/17/10 5:05 PM


For Rafafans.

Rafa opened today a School of Sport in Anantapur, India. He was there with his mother, who is the President of The Rafa Nadal Foundation.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PQKZolLERbE

Rafa's website: <<The project between the Rafa Nadal Foundation and the Vicente Ferrer Foundation consists of the construction and maintenance of a school and a three-court tennis training centre; the aim here is to improve the future opportunities and quality of life of 150 boys and girls in Anantapur. The boys and girls will receive educational support in English and Mathematics, reinforcing this with training in computer skills and improving their integral education through sport. >>
http://www.fundacionrafanadal.com/projects/project=1/pag=4

Augustina08 , 10/17/10 6:51 PM


For Rafafans (see my comment of 6:51 PM, also)

I forgot to link one more India-video. Here it is.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0RY1J8koJuA

Augustina08 , 10/17/10 7:02 PM


I remember Roger said that, he never thought that marriage, kids are just as easy as normal but when he lost fans will say marriage, kids, tired even the mono.... omg!!!

tettylds , 10/18/10 3:15 AM


I am Roger's huge fan.
However, Roger already passed prime.

Slump including sickness and injury. And, the limit of the age. addition, Roger marries and there is a child, too.

Roger is old. It thinks so as Roger's fan.



Andy's easy draw cannot be denied though Murray's victory is wonderful. Murray always ended easily at the same time as the final.

Roger is a very tough draw. It always became slow time of midnight. Time is also a too little from SF to the final. It was not a fair condition.

By the way, I am convinced of Roger's long career.

Nadal or Andy, Novak or Del potro. When they turn the same 29 years old. It is still in top 10 or is a doubt. The retire of the player who succeeds young is also early.


Roger's possibility keeping working in long and the top as a player is high. I am convinced.

tennisnba , 10/20/10 8:38 PM


always to Roger's thread that is the post. Sick nadfan. lol

tennisnba , 10/20/10 8:42 PM


Roger's post for Roger fan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=94xyOpETYYs
http://www.youtube.co m/watch?v=NChuiwwpr6Q

tennisnba , 10/20/10 8:48 PM


tennisba: not that many people are interested in your garbled thoughts, but try using the Goggle Translate facility - that way at least other Fedfans would understand what you are trying to say.

ed251137 , 10/20/10 9:08 PM


sorry. thanks

tennisnba , 10/20/10 9:11 PM


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NChuiwwpr6Q

tennisnba , 10/20/10 9:19 PM


In interview in Stockholm Roger said, No 1 or nothing.... He is no 2 at the moment, so he means he is nothing? idiotfedfan..... hahahaha

tettylds , 10/21/10 2:56 AM


also, sorry tennisnba, but could you try writing a bit less? In UK we have a saying "less is more."

deuce , 10/21/10 7:45 AM


SHE is scared to write "less" because it reveals HER true identity. It has been noted that she was trying to post distorted English to coumoflage but those who are having eagle eyes can not mistaken the poor lunatic maxi hehehe.

Raindrops , 10/21/10 9:38 AM


No, Raindrops, I don't think tennisnba is maxi. I see tennisnba as like a little cloud drifting in space, desperately peering down on the earth and trying to make sense of it all.....trying so hard......

deuce , 10/21/10 9:56 AM


I'm undecided on this one. it is odd that tennisnba appeared at the moment Maxi went to ground but I'm still undecided on whether they are one and the same person. They do have a similar thought process - if you can call it that - and they are both five miles high with the fairies but Maxi did at least occasionally make sense from time to time.

ed251137 , 10/21/10 11:32 AM


That's the reason why I think it is maxi. This person appeared after our late, unlamented maxi just completely disappeared. I have also gone back and forth on this, but I believe that the broken english is just a way to hide her identity. She knows that if she posted under a different screen name and still wrote in her very distinctive way, we would all know immediately that it was her. She is obsessive beyond reason when it comes to Fed. I agree that she could at times make some sense, but usually it was all about Fed hero worship.

By posting these ridiculouse posts, spamming all the blogs, this person manages to focus on blatant, over the top Fed love. The bad english hides the fact that it is her.

Nativenewyorker , 10/21/10 10:22 PM


I winged off an email to the administrators complaining about the spamming last night. They have issued a warning to her but as she is not making abusive comments they can't actually ban her.

ed251137 , 10/22/10 1:21 AM


ed,

Thanks for your efforts! Maybe the warning will help. It's her.

Nativenewyorker , 10/22/10 3:52 AM


I don't think tennis nba is Maxi. NBA is an associaiton here in NA and I doubt Max would know of their esistence.

Von , 10/22/10 8:12 AM


It's not so much the OTT idolising that get's up my nose so much as the fact that she wrecks the sequence of 'Latest Comments' so that active threads disappear and one loses track of discussions - particularly if there are several going on simultaneously.

ed251137 , 10/22/10 10:13 AM


ed,

I agree with you. It is beyond distracting and annoying. I know Ricky warned her about duplicate posts on blogs. He also has deleted some of them. He is trying to stop this person from cluttering up the blogs. It really is pure spamming. The clear and unequivocal purpose is to disrupt these threads.

I think we are all equally frustrated.

Nativenewyorker , 10/22/10 10:25 AM


I think tennisbaba and Rogerlove are the same person, but I don't think they are maxi, for the simple reason that none of their posts has 'yawn' in it. Seriously, maxi likes to point fingers and argue and I don't think she would be able to resist that if she came on here, she wouldn't be happy with just posting pointless declarations of love for Roger, she would be itching to attack anyone who doesn't idolise Roger.

It's hard to work out why maxi went AWOL, it could be that at the moment she can't bleat on about Roger being the best, so she's got nothing to say, and the same goes for the other Fedfans who have made their exit from TT.

nadline , 10/22/10 10:56 AM


since the FedUps have disappeared I must say I welcome the break from the ugly fights that kept breaking out. Only problem is we now tend to go round in circles agreeing with each other ;-)

ed251137 , 10/22/10 11:40 AM


I wrote an email to TT as well, a couple of days ago, re tennisnba

If the TT rules say that only abusive posters can have their login frozen then they are not sufficient. There needs to be a way for the moderators to stop someone from relentlessly disrupting discussions. A new rule to be added?

chlorostoma , 10/22/10 6:03 PM


chlorostoma,

I am with you. If their only criteria is abusiveness, then they need to reconsider. This person, whoever it happens to be, is a pure troll intent on disrupting the site. When you start spamming all the threads over and over, then you can do a lot of damage and pretty much disrupt all discussion. I think they should maybe rethink their rules and ban anyone who continuously tries to block the discussion.


I do remember someone with the screen name of RogerLove, but that person didn't go on all the threads and didn't post more than one or two sentences. This person is posting links about Fed and also getting in some digs at Rafa fans. It also could be chr18, who pretty much disappeared after those infuriating poems about how Sod was going to beat Rafa in the RG final.

Then there was GoMuzza who was extremely abusive. I remember how much trouble cheryl had trying to ban this individual. We have had a few nutcases on this site.

Nativenewyorker , 10/22/10 8:55 PM


ed: "Only problem is we now tend to go round in circles agreeing with each other ;-)"

ed, that's so very funny, but true. LOOL

Von , 10/23/10 3:18 AM


lol

tennisnba , 10/24/10 6:27 PM



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