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Ricky Dimon

  • World Tour Finals profile: No. 2 Rafael Nadal

    2009-11-20 16:20:09

    Throughout the eight days leading up to the 2009 World Tour Finals, Ricky is individually previewing this year’s eight qualifiers, starting with No. 8 and progressing toward No. 1. Up next is Rafael Nadal.

     

    In a way, Rafael Nadal endured one of the more bizarre seasons in ATP Tour history.

     

    So bizarre that you surely do a double-take—or 10—when you hear this: Nadal lost prior to the quarterfinals of only one tournament the entire year.... That tournament? The French Open. The same French Open at which he had won four straight titles and had never been defeated a single time.

     

    While nothing came as a shock quite like Nadal’s fourth-round loss to Robin Soderling, it was a what-the-heck-is-going-to-happen-next kind of season from start to finish for the 23-year-old Spaniard.

     

    Left for dead after a grueling five-set Australian Open semifinal epic with Fernando Verdasco, Nadal—who had one less day of rest prior to the final than an in-form Roger Federer---went right back out on the court and captured his first hard-court Grand Slam title. Two weeks later, he could barely move (knees) against Andy Murray in the Rotterdam final, in which he got bageled in the third set.

     

    Just when everyone thought Nadal’s knees were giving out on him far earlier in the season then they normally crack, the six-time major champion promptly won two Davis Cup rubbers while losing a total of 12 games in six sets (including a 6-4, 6-4, 6-1 drubbing of Novak Djokovic). Nadal went on to win the Indian Wells title, reach the Miami semifinals (lost to Juan Martin Del Potro in a third-set tiebreaker), and rack of the expected clay-court titles in Monte Carlo, Rome, and Barcelona.

     

    Then, just as fast as he had regained his momentum, Nadal lost it. He played an instant-classic semifinal against Djokovic in Madrid, winning 3-6, 7-6(5), 7-6(9), and was never the same thereafter. Nadal succumbed listlessly to Federer—on clay, GASP—one day later and, of course, eventually lost to Soderling at Roland Garros.

     

    And back-and-forth the Nadal roller-coaster went….

     

    How He Got Here

     

    2009 record: 64-11

    Grand Slam performances: Australian Open W, French Open R4, U.S. Open SF

     

    Titles: Australian Open, Indian Wells, Monte Carlo, Barcelona, Rome

     

    Runner-Ups: Rotterdam, Madrid, Shanghai

     

    Key Wins

    Australian Open SF: d. Fernando Verdasco 6-7(4), 6-4, 7-6(2), 6-7(1), 6-4

    Australian Open F: d. Roger Federer 7-5, 3-6, 7-6(3), 3-6, 6-2

    Indian Wells QF: d. Juan Martin Del Potro 6-2, 6-4

    Indian Wells SF: d. Andy Roddick 6-4, 7-6(4)

    Indian Wells F: d. Andy Murray 6-1, 6-2

    Monte Carlo SF: d. Andy Murray 6-2, 7-6(4)

    Monte Carlo F: d. Novak Djokovic 6-3, 2-6, 6-1

    Barcelona F: d. David Ferrer 6-2, 7-5

    Rome F: d. Novak Djokovic 7-6(2), 6-2

    Madrid SF: d. Novak Djokovic 3-6, 7-6(5), 7-6(9)

    U.S. Open QF: d. Fernando Gonzalez 7-6(4), 7-6(2), 6-0

    Paris QF: d. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 7-5, 7-5

     

    Head-to-Head vs. other WTF participants

     

    vs. Roger Federer: 13-7 (3-3 on hard courts)

    vs. Novak Djokovic: 14-6 (3-6 on hard courts)

    vs. Andy Murray: 7-2 (4-2 on hard courts)

    vs. Juan Martin Del Potro: 4-3 (2-3 on hard courts)

    vs. Nikolay Davydenko: 4-3 (1-3 on hard courts)

    vs. Fernando Verdasco: 9-0 (4-0 on hard courts)

    vs. Robin Soderling: 3-1 (0-0 on hard courts)

     

    Outlook

     

    …Against resounding odds (Nadal dealt with two significant injuries—knee tendinitis and an abdominal strain—and a mental trial—parents’ divorce throughout the second half of the year), Nadal managed to bounce back nicely for the hard-court swing.

     

    Having not played a match (and missing Wimbledon) since losing to Soderling, the world No. 2 made it to the quarterfinals in Montreal, reached the semifinals in Cincinnati, and matched his best U.S. Open performance with a semifinal showing. Nadal wrapped up his 2009 regular season with the following results: semifinals in Beijing, final in Shanghai, semifinals in Paris. Nothing extraordinary by lofty Nadal standards, but incredibly impressive given the circumstances.

     

    Now how is this for bizarre? (Don’t worry, not as bizarre as that first statistic). Nadal rolled through 2008 with hardly any issues, collecting titles left and right while ascending to the top of the ATP rankings for the first time in his career, but the long season took its toll and sidelined him for the Masters Cup. This year, Nadal was constantly broken up like a waiting-to-be-completed puzzle, and now that the World Tour Finals have rolled around? The pieces fit.

     

    It’s like the opposite of last season. Now, the question—a major one—is whether or not Nadal can capitalize on his relatively clean bill of health in London. Although playing well at the moment, he is in a brutal group B with Djokovic, Davydenko, and nemesis Soderling.

     

    Djokovic is arguably the best player in the world right now, Davydenko recently triumphed in Shanghai (over Nadal) and owns Nadal on hard courts, and Soderling is a masterful indoor-court player. While Nadal still registers at No. 2 in the world and is the top “seed” in his round-robin group, he is certainly not favored to reach the semifinals. In fact, you could argue that he will be an underdog in every single match he plays in London.

     

    But TAKE HEART, Rafa fans. If you learned just one thing from Nadal’s 2009 campaign, it was to expect the unexpected.

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Comments

Ricky: you sound cautiously optimistic that Rafa could pull some surprises. It will all be down to mental strength. My hunch is that Soderling, having taken his revenge at RG for the humiliating drubbing at Rome a few weeks before, might buckle in the huge arena atmostphere. Furthermore, the crowd will be rooting for Rafa - Soderling did not endear himself to the English fans when he took the mickey out of Rafa during their their Wimbledon SF.

ed251137 , 11/20/09 4:47 PM


soderling is the least of rafa's worry here in the rr's imho....soderling can be unconsistent in his big matches nd rafa thrives on his consistency....it might be easier for him to beat soderling here is the sod is not at his best....

the worry for me is davydenko nd djokovic,both have the best 2 handers..they take the ball on the rise nd attack rafa's forehand pretty well.......they also play a lot high percentage tennis compared to others......i feel rafa has to play out of his skin to reach semi's

if he reaches the semi's his task will be a bit easier...he has a respectable hard court record against federer(3-3).......nd against murray too.........

PLAY WELL MAN.......VAMOS!!!!!

vrael , 11/20/09 5:13 PM


I find that predictions always second guess what's gone on in the immediate past, so they are not really prdictions. Earlier in the year, everyone was writing Djokovic off blaming his new racquet, and last year this time, Murray was the flavour of the month, so much so that he was the favourite to wing the AO.

Rafa has been rusty since his come back, he has said that he needs time to get his rythm back, I can only hope that he does so for the WTF, but as to who will be in form at the O2, it's anybodys guess. He has played some diabolical matches recently, the oe against Davydenko wa sone he should have won, for some reason he simply wasn't attacking, probably because he was't confident enough because he says he wasn't feeling the ball.

However, I'll certainly be keeping my fingers crossed for him next week!

VAMOS RAFA!

carrie , 11/20/09 5:31 PM


I think Rafa has chances against both Soderling and Davydenko. Rafa should learn from the match between Lopez and Soderling and see how Lopez defeated Soderling. Besides serving well, Lopez forced Soderling to remain at the back of the court and then Lopez will come to the net and finish the point. Soderling is still not very good at the net. Against Davydenko, Rafa would have to rely on his passing shots, and sometimes the lobs, as Davydenko is the opposite of Soderling; he likes to take the ball early and comes to the net very often. If Rafa can play the way he did against Tsonga, mixing up his serves well, come to the net and volley well, I think he CAN beat Soderling and Davydenko.

Against Nole, Rafa really needs to find his forehand down-the-line passing shots, as he gets rather predictable with his forehand crosscourt shots. I think he did not use that down-the-line passing shots against Nole in Paris, a sign that he was not confident then.

I would not write Rafa off as I think he has a chance to reach the SF. If he proves me right, than anything beyond that is possible, a final or maybe even winning the whole tournament!

PS. Its strange that both Rafa and Fed end up in the wrong group. Rafa can deal with Murray & Verdasco better than Nole and Soderling; while Fed can do better against Nole and Davydenko, rather than against Murray and Del Potro.

luckystar , 11/20/09 5:44 PM


I agree that Nadal has the best chance of beating Soderling. However, I think DAVYDENKO is the only one against whom Nadal controls his own destiny.

In other words, if both Nadal AND Soderling play great, I think Soderling wins on an indoor hard court. If both Nadal and Davydenko play great, Nadal can still win because Davydenko cant blow Nadal off of a hard court.

However, the chances of Soderling playing great are a lot slimmer than Davydenko playing great, thus Nadal has a better chance of beating Soderling.

RickyDimon , 11/20/09 5:54 PM


Ricky, love your insight and pieces ... don't usually comment as I don't enjoy the tit-for-tats on such forums but I thought I would point out a factual error you might like to correct... the epic semi-final you speak of between Nadal and Djokovic was not at Rome but at Madrid Masters (I know because I was at the tournament, watching the match -- amazing it was) and yes, the final was a gasp. Sadly so, because I had been looking forward to something amazing by Nadal. Alas no.


Cheers ...

Nia , 11/20/09 6:10 PM


Nia, of course you are right! I mis-typed.

Thanks for the heads up!

RickyDimon , 11/20/09 6:33 PM


Ricky, you did a great job to put together a realistic and interesting Rafa?s profile! I actually enjoy reading about Rafa and anything written on and about Rafa sure will attract my attention. I must make one correction, though, it might have been a typo, but Rafa unfortunately did not reach semifinal in Miami; he got beaten by DelPo in that for me so frustrating quarterfinal. I know because I was there waiting to see both semifinals and finals, but I got to watch Nole and Murray instead. By the way, Nole completely disappointed me back then...he was leading 5:2 in second set and lost it eventually 7:5. And all of it came after his great win over Federer. Well, that is mainly why I believe Rafa, if at his best, can beat Nole even if he is on the run and full of confidence. It all depends on Rafa and his game

natashao , 11/20/09 6:46 PM


natashao - thanks

and yes, Murray was way better than Djokovic at that point of the year. Interesting how things change.

RickyDimon , 11/20/09 7:07 PM


rafa practises today wid roger at 2 pm!

vrael , 11/21/09 9:08 AM


http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/tennis/article6926050.ece

vrael , 11/21/09 1:48 PM


vrael, thanks for the link, very good article/interview. Poor Rafa, the timing for his parents problems couldn't have been worse for him, just at the time when he should have shorn at RG, and defended his title, but that's life, I'm sure his parents did not intend to hurt him even more by harming his career. Having been brought up in a tight knit family, it must have been a great shock to his whole perspective of life for this to happen, but time will heal, and it will help him to grow up.

carrie , 11/21/09 3:47 PM


sodemort will not get lucky twice against rafa. although the indoor court speed suits sodemort, rafa is the better and more consistent player. he can win matches even when playing badly. i'll pick my fav to take his first match. how can i not.

vamos rafa!

homos , 11/21/09 4:26 PM


haha sodemort, one some other site i've seen sodomizer :)

posmatrac , 11/21/09 5:24 PM


welcome carrie.....sodemort is fine but sodomizer???? thts ugly...lolzzz

did the person who named him that way really knew wat he was saying????

vrael , 11/21/09 5:31 PM


NADAL PRAISES CHENNAI

Mumbai: Rafael Nadal was all praise for the people of India and asked the world to learn a lesson or two from them. In a recent interview to Spanish publication La Vanguardia's, the world No.2 tennis player said he saw a lot of happiness among Indians despite poverty.
The Spaniard, who had come to India for Chennai Open in 2007 and 2008, was inspired by the 'genuineness among the Indians'.
Nadal was quizzed on what needed to change to live in an ideal world to which he said, "Always we speak of poverty, but, for example, I have been in India, in Chennai, several times, and I can assure you that inside the poverty I see happiness in the faces of the people. And that we should apply to all of us."
He then continued: "There, where people have practically nothing and live in the streets, you see the faces and they do not deceive you. Here (in Spain), many people have practically everything and tomorrow you can see them going to work and their faces do not reflect happiness. . . We do not value what we have; I'm like this, too."
Nadal also spoke on religion. "Virtually all the bad things that happen in life are the faults of radicalism of any kind, that triggers problems that could be avoided. You can have hobbies, likes, beliefs, but always with respect for the opinions of others, without fail. Similarly with religion, one can be religious, atheist, Christian, Muslim, whatever, but all the atrocities that have been caused by religion are too much. For me religion is the biggest killer in history."
Nadal, who has had a mixed year, will play next at the season-ending London Masters and be part of the Spanish Davis Cup squad that will face Czech Republic in the final next month.

just posted this because his words touched me.....im an indian,nd im very happy that rafa is doing his bit to promote tennis in my country too....this guy named rafa nadal has been my idol since i was 15 yrs old..he has given me a lot of happines in these 4-5 yrs that i have followed him nd he still does.....its been so difficult for the rafanatic in me to see him not play wimbledon,lose to people he shouldnt but what still makes him my favourite is that way he conducts himself,his attitude,his thoughts about the world in general.......this guy is just pure class......VAMOS!!!!!!!

vrael , 11/21/09 5:41 PM


Rafa is just an all round great guy, period! He is the kind of son any mother would want, I hope they make him a UN Ambassador one day.

I'm already an avid Rafan, as I don't need to point out here, but the more I read about him the more I'm proud to be his fan.

carrie , 11/21/09 6:04 PM


Good article Ricky..like you say "expect the unexpected"...he is , afterall, RAPHAEL NADAL...Still No 1 in the hearts of the people.. VAMOS! RAFA.

rafanna , 11/21/09 7:46 PM



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