2009-11-16 23:09:30
In the eight days leading up to the 2009 World Tour Finals, Ricky will individually preview this year’s eight qualifiers, starting with No. 8 and progressing toward No. 1. With the Roddick-Soderling situation still not confirmed, up next is Juan Martin Del Potro.
After a breakout 2008 campaign in which he went from an afterthought to a World Tour Finals participant in less than five months, Del Potro’s participation in 2009’s season-ending event was never in doubt. The 21-year-old Argentine, who won four consecutive ATP tournaments last summer, triumphed in his first appearance of 2009 at the Heineken Open and—until just recently—never slowed down.
Del Potro went on to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, but he just as he had done en route to his five career ATP titles, he did so against unimposing competition. Once he ran into Roger Federer, Del Potro won a humiliating three games in three sets.
Questions—legitimate ones, at that—about Del Potro’s ability to contend with the top players were put to rest in Miami. Two weeks after getting blown out by Rafael Nadal at the Indian Wells Masters, Del Potro stunned Nadal in the Miami quarterfinals to really announce himself as a serious contender on the ATP Tour. Keep in mind that Nadal, at that time, was not the Nadal he is now. The Spaniard had already won the Australian Open and Indian Wells and was clearly the best player on tour.
By the time the U.S. Open rolled around, Del Potro’s Grand Slam-clinching upset of Federer only confirmed what we already knew: Del Potro was a bona fide star.
How He Got Here
2009 record: 51-14
Grand Slam performances: Australian Open QF, French Open SF, Wimbledon R2, U.S. Open W
Titles: Auckland, Washington, U.S. Open
Runner-Ups: Montreal
Key Wins
Australian Open R4: d. Marin Cilic 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, 6-2
Miami QF: d. Rafael Nadal 6-4, 3-6, 7-6(3)
Madrid QF: d. Andy Murray 7-6(4), 6-3
French Open R4: d. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 6-1, 6-7(5), 6-1, 6-4
Washington F: d. Andy Roddick 3-6, 7-5, 7-6(6)
Montreal QF: d. Rafael Nadal 7-6(5), 6-1
Montreal SF: d. Andy Roddick 4-6, 6-2, 7-5
U.S. Open SF: d. Rafael Nadal 6-2, 6-2, 6-2
U.S. Open F: d. Roger Federer 3-6, 7-6(5), 4-6, 7-6(4), 6-2
Head-to-Head vs. other WTF participants
vs. Roger Federer: 1-6 (1-3 on hard courts)
vs. Rafael Nadal: 3-4 (3-2 on hard courts)
vs. Novak Djokovic: 0-3 (0-2 on hard courts)
vs. Andy Murray: 1-4 (0-3 on hard courts)
vs. Andy Roddick: 3-0 (3-0 on hard courts)
vs. Nikolay Davydenko: 1-2 (0-2 on hard courts)
vs. Fernando Verdasco: 0-0
Outlook
Summer called; it wants its Del Potro back.
When Del Potro rolled through the summer hard-court swing by winning titles in Washington, Montreal, and at the U.S. Open, the world No. 5 looked like one of the favorites—if not the favorite—to eventually win the 2009 World Tour Finals.
Nadal was suffering from two—albeit minor—injuries, Davydenko had been blown out by Murray in Montreal and by Robin Soderling at the U.S. Open, Roddick lost to Del Potro twice and did not even make the second week in New York, Djokovic was not looking like the best player in the world as he is right now, Murray lost early at the Open and was complaining about wrist problems, and Del Potro earned a career-defining win over world No. 1 Federer.
What a difference two months make.
Del Potro, suffering physically—and perhaps mentally—after capturing his first career Grand Slam title, played just two matches during the Asian swing. With a wrist injury of his own, he lost his Tokyo opener to little-known Edouard Roger-Vasselin in straight sets, then he retired from his first-round match at the Shanghai Masters one week later.
After taking a month off to heal the wrist problem, Del Potro returned last week in Paris with a different injury: a Nadal-esque abdominal strain. He managed to get past Fernando Gonzalez in the third round, but he made it through just four games against Radek Stepanek in the quarterfinals.
None of this bodes well for Del Potro’s prospects heading into the World Tour Finals. Not only is his health a major question mark, but Del Potro is also not at his best on indoor hard courts. Yes, he is an all-court player, but ideally he would rather play on a slower surface. Furthermore, Djokovic is on fire, Murray is healthy, Nadal is relatively healthy, and Davydenko recently prevailed in Shanghai.
All of this should add up to an early exit in London for the U.S. Open champion. In fact, merely completing three round-robin matches would be an accomplishment.
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what we already knew has finally been confirmed: Roddick is out and Soderling is in
Del Potro is 1-1 lifetime against Soderling. 1-0 on hard and 0-1 on carpet. This does not include the walkover Del Potro got in this year's Legg Mason quarterfinals.
RickyDimon , 11/17/09 7:52 PM
I think Tsonga will jump in here...Del Potro will probably play one match or two and then retire.
Ice , 11/18/09 9:32 AM
Good job on your blog RickyDimon. I enjoy reading them.
I don't think I can take another pain-ridden athlete or a match with wonderful potential turn into ash and a retirement.
Unless the ATP finally due something regarding the schedule and off season (or rather, the LACK of a proper off season) is this what the players (and we the fans!) have to look forward to toward the end of every tennis season? This is a serious problem and it needs to be honestly addressed properly dealt with.
Hmm, is this Del Potro's first showing at the WTF? I can't seem to recall what his record is at the WTF for the life of me (if he has one, that is).
I think that he looked like he was in serious pain in Paris. His match vs another injured player in Gonzalez was tough to watch. I don't see how he could have healed and is all better in such a short period of time. Yes they are pro athletes with top-notch physical therapists, but they are still human beings and physical injuries (and mental fatigue) need TIME to fully heal and mend.
It's a shame, but unless Del Potro just wants to tough it out and go through the experience, I also think Tsonga might get a chance to play.
MiniArbre , 11/19/09 3:28 AM
Sorry for the double post, but I just noticed how my very last comment comes across.
I don't want it to sound like it is a shame that Tsonga may get to play. What I meant is that it will be a shame if Del Potro doesn't get to participate due to injury after doing as well as he did this year and earning his spot on the merit of being number 5 in the world and his GS victory.
Also RickyDimon, I noticed how you categorized Rafa as being "relatively" healthy. Are you referring to his mental state as opposed to his physical condition when you put emphasis on that particular word? Reading that comment made me have all kinds of horrible flash-backs to different injury scenarios even though I know that his "body is perfect...physically speaking." <---- One of Rafa's classic comments during his presser. The delivery, the timing, the clever pun and overall cuteness makes this one of my favorite Rafa quotes. :D
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zyawYdBkotQ&feature=related
But this one, of course, takes the cake! XD
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acNUrlKp8t0&feature=related
MiniArbre , 11/19/09 3:54 AM
Del Potro also played in 2008 Maters Cup,but he lost in round robin stage to Djokovic and Davydenko.I think he beat Tsonga...
Ice , 11/19/09 4:57 PM
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Thanks for these player breakdowns Ricky ... hope Juan Martin is feeling well enough to be competitive ... still seems a little incredible to me that he is a slam winner.
smr , 11/17/09 4:48 PM