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Ricky Dimon

  • Approach shots: Welcome to Nadal’s personal playground - clay!

    2009-04-06 09:56:05
    "Approach Shots" is Ricky's weekly look at what's ahead (or "approaching") on the ATP Tour. Every Sunday he'll preview all the tournaments scheduled for the upcoming week.

    It's that time of year again.

    You know, that time; when Rafael Nadal rarely loses a match, much less a set. But there is good news for all players entered in one of this week's two tournaments: Nadal (and almost all of the other top players) are resting up for the more valuable events (Masters and the French Open) of this European clay-court swing.

    As a result, titles at the U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships in Houston, Texas and the Grand Prix Hassan II in Casablanca, Morocco are completely up for grabs. James Blake is the top seed in Houston, but he will get plenty of competition from fellow Americans Mardy Fish and Sam Querrey along with defending champion Marcel Granollers. Igor Andreev leads the way in Casablanca, but he'll be challenged by a host of European clay-court specialists.

    This is basically the calm before the real clay-court storm, but don't tell this week's participants. For them, this is a glorious chance to capture a trophy on dirt.

    U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships

    Where: Houston, Texas
    Surface: Clay
    Prize Money: $500,000
    Points: 250
    Top Seed: James Blake
    Defending Champion: Marcel Granollers

    Draw Analysis: Americans will get one chance to test their clay-court skills on their own soil before moving on to Europe to get—no doubt—overmatched by European clay-court specialists. Of course, a Spaniard went into Houston last season and stole the title, and Marcel Granollers is back to defend his title. Will a foreigner emerge victorious once again, or will an American treat the crowd to a rare clay-court title?

    The good news for the Americans is that they own three of the top five seeded positions at the U.S. Men's Clay Court Championships. James Blake is the No. 1 seed, Mardy Fish is No. 2, and Sam Querrey is No. 5. The bad news, however, is that the draw does not set up particularly well for any of them. Blake has veteran Argentine Guillermo Canas in round one, Fish will meet Bjorn Phau in his opener and possibly Granollers in the quarters, and Querrey faces clay-courter Paul Capdeville of Chile.

    Both Blake and Querrey could be doing battle with big-serving compatriots in round two. Taylor Dent, who made a surprise appearance in the fourth round of the Sony Ericsson Open, could meet Blake, while 6'9'' John Isner, a fourth-round finisher in Indian Wells, could pair up with Querrey.

    All in all, this title looks like anyone's for the taking. None of the seeds are anything close to dominant, and potential unseeded threats such as Lleyton Hewitt, Evgeny Korolev, and Tommy Haas could get hot at any moment.

    First-Round Upset Alert: Lleyton Hewitt over (7) Diego Junqueira. This, of course, would only be an upset on paper. Junqueira is seeded seventh and Hewitt is unseeded due to a rankings dip stemming from various physical problems. While Hewitt has continued to struggle during his 2009 comeback, the former world No. 1 has shown some encouraging signs. The Aussie took Fernando Gonzalez to five sets at the Australian Open and he reached the Memphis semifinals, where he lost to Andy Roddick in a tight three-setter. Junqueira will have a chance playing on his favorite surface (clay), but Hewitt should be too tough for him.

    Also, while Canas is in a dismal slump, don't be totally shocked if he upsets an out-of-form Blake in the first round.

    Momentum Builders (Players looking to continue recent good form): Taylor Dent, John Isner

    Slump Busters (Players hoping to resurrect their games): James Blake, Jurgen Melzer, Marcel Granollers, Lleyton Hewitt, Tommy Haas, Kevin Anderson, Guillermo Canas

    Semifinal Predictions: Jeremy Chardy over James Blake and Sam Querrey over Marcel Granollers

    Final Prediction: Querrey over Chardy


    Grand Prix Hassan II

    Where: Casablanca, Morocco
    Surface: Clay
    Prize Money: 450,000 Euros
    Points: 250
    Top Seed: Igor Andreev
    Defending Champion: Gilles Simon (not playing)

    Draw Analysis: With a trio of Masters Series events on the horizon followed by the French Open, this could be the weakest field of the European clay-court season. At the same time, however, it presents the participants with a great opportunity to capture a rare ATP title.

    Igor Andreev is the No. 1 seed in Casablanca and he has to be the favorite to succeed Gilles Simon as Grand Prix Hassan II champion (Simon is not defending his title). No player has a particularly bad draw (hey, it's not like Rafael Nadal is in the tournament!), but Andreev's path looks especially smooth. He will take on a Moroccan wildcard in round one and his nearest seed is Marc Gicquel, who is far from a clay-court specialist.

    That said, Andreev will have plenty of company in his bid for the winner's trophy. Second-seeded Rainer Schuettler can be a force on all surfaces and No. 3 seed Albert Montanes does almost all of his damage on clay. Montanes has a favorable draw early in the tournament, but he could meet either Arnaud Clement or Ivan Ljubicic (Clement and Ljubcic square off in round one) in the quarterfinals.

    In addition to Ljubicic, also keep an eye on unseeded talents Thomaz Bellucci, Juan Carlos Ferrero, and Steve Darcis. Bellucci is lethal on the dirt and the up-and-coming Brazilian should meet Schuettler in the quarterfinals if he can get past No. 5 seed Florent Serra in round one. Ferrero is a potential Casablanca champion, but only if he is healthy.

    First-Round Upset Alert: There are several chances for first-round upsets in Morocco, but the most likely one is Bellucci over (5) Serra. Bellucci won an incredible four clay-court Challenger events last spring and then tested Nadal in the first set of their first-round encounter at the French Open. The youngster also finished runner-up on the clay courts of Costa Do Sauipe earlier this year. Serra posted some respectable results during the U.S. hard-court swing, but the Frenchman is no kind of clay-court specialist. In fact on clay, you can barely consider this an "upset."

    Ferrero should be able to oust (7) Christophe Rochus if the Spanish "Mosquito" is feeling 100 percent physically (and that is a massive "if"). Also watch out for Ljubicic against (8) Arnaud Clement and Darcis versus (4) Victor Hanescu.

    Momentum Builders (Players looking to continue recent good form): none

    Slump Busters (Players hoping to resurrect their games): Rainer Schuettler, Albert Montanes, Fabio Fognini, Olivier Rochus, Juan Carlos Ferrero, Oscar Hernandez, Steve Darcis, Kristof Vliegen

    Semifinal Predictions: Igor Andreev over Christophe Rochus and Thomaz Bellucci over Albert Montanes

    Final Prediction: Andreev over Bellucci


    Comments and your own predictions are appreciated!

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Comments

I dont think Bellucci has the mental capacity to make finals outside Brazil yet.

orion , 4/6/09 12:59 PM


Clay, most dreaded season for me for the last 5 years.

torres9 , 4/6/09 1:39 PM


clay..the most beloved surface for me for the past 4 yrs....lollz....goo dcontrast torres..isnt it?? heehe

vamosrafa , 4/6/09 1:45 PM


Zzzz... I wish they would change clay season to carpet season or maybe ice season. Why clay... >.

torres9 , 4/6/09 1:49 PM


i wish they had two slams a year on clay...lolz!

vamosrafa , 4/6/09 2:56 PM


Potential surprises:

Casablanca -

Bellucci

Oscar Hernandez - you never know when The King is going to get hot on clay. His draw is decent so he could reach the semifinals, but I don't see him taking out Andreev in the semis; could go further if Andreev gets upset.

Albert Montanes - great on clay. Terrible on every other surface. He could win this entire tournament.

Houston -

Querrey (winning the tournament, as predicted)

Lleyton Hewitt - He is not great on clay, but he is GOOD on clay. That could be good enough to go all the way in a field as weak as Houston. If he gets to play Blake in the semis, he OWNS Blake in the H2H.

Canas or Phau - i bet at least one of them will upset Blake and Fish, respectively

RickyDimon , 4/6/09 3:28 PM


love clay....best season started..rafa's gonna rock...awaitin rolland garros eagerly.....

vrael , 4/6/09 4:01 PM


my favorite part of the season has started...
Ricky,do you really think that Querrey's got what it takes to win a clay court title even though the field is weak?

sisterofnight12 , 4/6/09 4:58 PM


sister - yes, he made the quarters of a Masters event on clay last season. SHOCKING for an American.

Also I don't understand what you mean by "even though" the field is weak. He has a chance BECAUSE the field is weak. If the field was strong, he wouldn't have much of a chance.

RickyDimon , 4/6/09 5:03 PM


nice topic name.......... rafa's playgraound!!!!!! recently read somewhere that mr nadal puts an average of about 3200 rpm of spin in his every blistering forehand.........imagine that hitting the dirt and nd jumping awkwardly...no surprises that all his oponents make so many unforced errors against him...the ball just shoots up....hitting precised well angled shots gets tougher wid this sort of play from rafa.....taller one's like del potro may do some harm to rafa though

vrael , 4/6/09 6:08 PM


Querrey can play good tennis on clay. Quarters of Monte Carlo last year. He also took a set from Nadal in last years Davis cup semifinal on clay in spain.

Shockwaves , 4/6/09 6:55 PM


Ricky,thanks for the explanation.I was gonna say "even if" instead of "even though" of course.Sorry for the misspelling,I have an exam tomorrow,so my mind is a bit blurred!

sisterofnight12 , 4/6/09 7:37 PM


Bellucci went out in the first round in straight comfortable sets. I dont understand that guy. Montanes wouldnt be much of a surprise I think as he is one of the strongest guys in casablanca and andreev had not been scintillating so far. Good luck with your exam sister

orion , 4/6/09 11:19 PM


Wow ricky you got phau right. Another very big call

orion , 4/7/09 10:59 PM


Phau and Canas! Hope you had a little something on the matches at Unibet.

sukhumvit , 4/8/09 4:30 AM


Americans are just DREADFUL on clay. Nonetheless, nice work by Phau and Canas; they have a good chance to keep moving on.

Adding to the carnage: Querrey withdraws from the tournament prior to his first-round match, replaced by LL Delic who loses to Capdeville.

RickyDimon , 4/8/09 5:41 AM


i dont remember any american except agassi to be really good on clay....actually cant remember any american win rolland garros except for agassi.....sampras was mediocre at clay to say the least.....clay court tournaments are generally won by spaniards or chileans or argentinians generally....america should have more clay courts........lol

vrael , 4/8/09 7:53 AM


Michael Chang won RG too

orion , 4/8/09 2:18 PM


oh yeah...i forgot...but mr chang also didnt win a lot after that....thanks orion....really a drought of good american clay courters.....no one except these two

vrael , 4/8/09 2:47 PM


vrael and orion - Jim Courier won BACK TO BACK French Open titles!

RickyDimon , 4/8/09 3:31 PM


wow..........now we have three americans.....but still......tennis had so many world no 1's from america...nd only three americans have won french open in recent history....it still is a poor record...lol

vrael , 4/8/09 5:42 PM


Interestingly enough,John Isner is through to quarterfinals in Houston!!!

sisterofnight12 , 4/9/09 8:05 PM


I dont think tennis is too popular in the US. It is still behind basketball, american rugby, ice hockey.

torres9 , 4/9/09 9:44 PM


torres - not sure where you live, but in the US tennis is behind american football, basketball, and baseball. It's WAY ahead of hockey and rugby.

RickyDimon , 4/9/09 10:29 PM


hi ricky....i asked sumthing during miami bt i think u were a bit busy ...np..i wanted to know how heavy andreev's forehand is in comparison to nadal!? rafa's forehand is the heaviest bt igor also hits it with so much spin!

vamosrafa , 4/9/09 10:40 PM


Vamosrafa - you have it correct already. Andreev's has more spin, but Nadal's is heavier. The combo of speed and spin on Nadal's makes it more effective. He also places it better and Andreev has a lot of mishits with his, probably for the very reason that he tries to generate so much spin every time.

But yeah, Andreev's is good and that spin on it is outrageous, but I would take Nadal's FH any day of the week.

RickyDimon , 4/10/09 4:00 PM


Hello.. the title of 'clay.. Nadal's playground' got me thinking back to 1997. Thomas Muster had ruled clay the two years previous. At the begining of 1997 he had finally cracked hard courts winning some big events. I really thought he would go on to completely dominate the season. But sure enough, come clay court season, he started losing to everybody. Santoro, Arazi... Scot Draper!! This was the begining of the end for the man. Now I wonder if the same thing could happen to Nadal, today's ''Iron Man''. I personally doubt it, but the similarities are there to see. Would love your comments.

dalsakr , 4/10/09 4:38 PM


dalsakr - of course that will happen sometime.

Maybe in 2015. Certainly not in 2009!

RickyDimon , 4/10/09 6:05 PM


it would be a shame if such a great player's career ended so quickly....just hope rickydimon is correct...does nyone really know wat rafa thinks???how long will he go.......i certainly want him to be at his best for atleast 4 years from now

vrael , 4/10/09 7:33 PM


vrael: I think Rafa has planted a number of statements along the way during interviews that he thinks there are more important things in life than winning tennis tournaments. At 22 he has already accepted that there is a time limit and talks about a life after tennis. He doesnt attach any importance to the trappings of fame and clearly yearns to be able to spend more time on his beloved island amongst his family and childhood friends. Having achieved most of his goals (apart from the Grand Slam) I think a lot of us suspect he is already running out of motivaton. I hope I am wrong because he has lit up the world of tennis for the past 4-5 years and we wont see the likes of him again.

ed251137 , 4/10/09 9:12 PM


ed - don't worry, Nadal isn't close to being finished. He won't stop until he has the all-time Grand Slam record. He might never get there, but if not it won't be for lack of trying.

RickyDimon , 4/10/09 10:50 PM


Ricky, I assume that you are American. Thanks for the new info that you posted about tennis is way ahead of rugby and hockey. To me, American Football is 'American Rugby' because I hate that American calls a sport that is mainly involved with hands, 'football' and call the real football, 'soccer'?

torres9 , 4/11/09 12:24 AM


American football is not a sport that is mainly involved with hands. The feet and legs are involved in the majority of the game. I am not a fan of American soccer, only because I never got involved enough to learn the rules and what it was about. Many Americans are that way and do not consider "our" soccer as the same as it is in Europe. I know football and baseball due to 3 brothers, my husband and my son.
Believe me torres9, many know there is a huge difference between European football and American football.

fan4tennis , 4/11/09 12:42 AM


"fan4tennis, if you say kicking a penalty every now and then in American football means feet and legs is involved in MAJORITY of the game than I suggest you take a degree in Thinking." torres9 , 4/11/09 2:07 AM

Your statement only strengthens my point that American football is much difference than European football. You obviously do not know as much as you think you know of how American football is played. I at least admitted I don't know much about even American soccer:
("I am not a fan of American soccer, only because I never got involved enough to learn the rules and what it was about. Many Americans are that way and do not consider "our" soccer as the same as it is in Europe.")

Will you admit to not knowing much about American football??? I am not saying you are uneducated but your interpretation and knowledge is flawed. And I am saying this out of my sincerity to help you.

fan4tennis , 4/11/09 2:28 AM


sorry, accidentally deleted torres9' previous post which was in between the two fan4tennis posts (thought they were identical posts accidentally posted twice before I realized one was quoting the other). Here is torres9 post:

fan4tennis, if you say kicking a penalty every now and then in American football means feet and legs is involved in MAJORITY of the game than I suggest you take a degree in Thinking. And the fact that you say 'AMERICAN SOCCER' has different rules than Europe football just show that you live in a village with internet connection and the only website that you ever visited is tennistalk.com.That is the only possible way that I can think that you can come up with such a stupid comment.
You and vamosrafa need to do something about this. I am not saying you guys are uneducated but your interpretation and knowledge. And I am saying this out of my sincerity to help you guys.

RickyDimon , 4/11/09 2:49 AM


Thank you Ricky. He obviously doesn't understand American football if he says that "kicking a penalty" is part of it.

fan4tennis , 4/11/09 3:05 AM


RickyDimon, 4/10/09 10:50 PM: thanks for the reassurance! It's just that a lot of us are unsettled by what happened at IW and Miami and are nervous he might do a Borg and just walk off the court one day never to return.

ed251137 , 4/11/09 7:02 AM


fan4tennis, if you are so clever, than can u explain why u said feet and legs are involved in the majority of the game? I doubt you know your own game. All I see is they use hands to tackle, the quarterback use hand to throw the ball, what else? I f you say running means the feet is involved then I might as well say tennis is involved with mainly feet and legs. You really are intellectually challenged unless you prove me otherwise.

torres9 , 4/11/09 9:14 AM


I know American football torres! Definitelt more than you and you proved that with your "kicking a penalty" remark. In American football, hands aren't the only part of the body used to tackle. When it is 4th and goal (or inches to a 1st down), many time the player with the ball (as well as his team on the field) uses the strength of his legs to keep moving him forward to get that 1st down. Running is also a huge part of the American football game (the quarterback doesn't always throw the ball).

You seem to have a problem with feet and legs. You say American football is mainly hands. You deride Rafa as for using his strong legs to his advantage (running for any ball, his good footwork). These players of all these sports are ATHLETES!!! They use their entire body!!!! And since you have proven yourself to be intellectually challenged, that includes feet and legs!

fan4tennis , 4/11/09 7:14 PM


Alright it's time for readers to man up and compete against me with some predictions.

Starting with Monte-Carlo, I am picking every match. Round-by-round competitions here (at my blog):

http://rdatp.wordpress.com/2009/04/11/masters-series-monte-c arlo-every-match-round-1/

also filling out the entire Monte Carlo draw:

http://rdatp.wordpress.com/2009/04/11/masters-series-monte-ca rlo-bracket/

RickyDimon , 4/11/09 11:57 PM


or e-mail picks (and/or hate mail!) to ricky.dimon@tennistalk.com and I will post them myself

RickyDimon , 4/12/09 1:25 AM


thnx for the details on the forehands ricky...andreev can also generate around 5000 rpm spin like rafa but as u said ...rafa's forehand is better nd has variety...

vamosrafa , 4/12/09 1:53 PM



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