Help

loading...

Cheryl Murray

  • Post-US Open tennis remains as unpredictable as ever

    2010-10-06 19:18:05

    Every year, the tennis community is shocked by the proliferation of strange results that roll in during October. We trot merrily into the US Open post-season full of the misplaced confidence that we can use results from the first nine months of the tennis year to accurately predict the last two. Or we go with the even worse assumption that good results in October will translate into success at the following Australian Open (David Nalbandian, anyone?).

    We want to believe that if Rafael Nadal can win the French Open, Wimbledon and the US Open in the same year, he is a lock for a little 250 point tournament in Bangkok. We are, apparently, a group of idiots.

    History has proven that the most we can count on for a tournament after September is that any player we expect to dominate will get hurt, be exhausted or forget how to play tennis.

    That the players might be tired or injured makes perfect sense. The tennis season is, after all, long to the point of absurdity. The top players actually tend to win matches at the tournaments they enter, and thus get worn out more quickly...not to mention the fact that the ATP is constantly looming overhead with the threat of fines if somebody important misses too many tournaments.

    Is it any wonder that after 9 months of melting in Australia, freezing on the European clay, getting rained on at Wimbledon and baking on the hard courts of North America, that these guys might not be at their best in the fall? A grueling travel schedule, the wear and tear of constantly changing surfaces and an unfortunate emphasis on hard courts doesn’t help either.

    Last year, the field at the Shanghai Masters was missing 4 of the top 10 players due to injury. An opportunistic Nikolay Davydenko walked away with titles in Kuala Lumpur, Shanghai, and the WTFs in London, in part because many of the top-ranked players were hobbled.

    “But”, you’ll argue, “sometimes players AREN’T sick, injured or exhausted! Sometimes they just fail to convert 16 (SIXTEEN!) break point chances in a single set against Guillermo-Garcia Lopez.” And to that I give a cyber shoulder-shrug. Some mysteries are just too great to try to solve...unless you subscribe to the conspiracy theory that “players” are teaching the ATP a lesson about having strict rules concerning how many tournaments one most play in the fall. And that this is ultimately why a clay court player ranked in the mid-50’s is now the proud champion of a fast indoor hard court tournament... not that I endorse such accusations or anything....

    Oh...before I forget, I should get my pick for World Tour Finals champion in now. Jurgen Melzer FOR THE WIN!

Tell a friend »

Comments

First

ts38 , 10/7/10 7:22 PM


Kinda think that a beach vacation with 8 of his dearest friends was maybe not the best prep for Rafa for the Thai tournament. I'm a LOT older than Rafa, but that vacation sounded to me like the kind you come back from thinking, "I need a vacation!" Photo ops, practice, football, playstation, late night parties. Did they sleep? I guess...Rafa did cancel the elephant, lol. I was not surprised.

Ramara , 10/7/10 7:36 PM


THIRD

RickyDimon , 10/7/10 8:01 PM


Um no, baked at Wimbledon please and rained at RG!

deuce , 10/7/10 9:05 PM


Rafa decided to give his countryman some crumbs of a 250 title to add to the only other title he already had, being the considerate guy that he is. He believes in sharing. lol

I'm 4th on this thread, do I get a prize, or shall I come back to be the 500th poster?

nadline , 10/7/10 9:08 PM


Great article!
That's tennis for ya... We keep hearing from the Regal Rackets, Roger and Rafa that winning so many majors and masters is a lot harder than they make it seem. Their power of concentration is nothing short of superhuman, yet they are as mortal as everyone else.
So they give it their all when it counts most, mentally and physically... that's their talent. It's not that they lose on purpose. Rafa may look fresh, but let's be real, there is no way all these won tournaments aren't gonna take their toll. There is a reason why no one has done what Rafa just did since Rod Laver!

grafight , 10/8/10 4:16 AM


Great article!
That's tennis for ya... We keep hearing from the Regal Rackets, Roger and Rafa that winning so many majors and masters is a lot harder than they make it seem. Their power of concentration is nothing short of superhuman, yet they are as mortal as everyone else.
So they give it their all when it counts most, mentally and physically... that's their talent. It's not that they lose on purpose. Rafa may look fresh, but let's be real, there is no way all these won tournaments aren't gonna take their toll. There is a reason why no one has done what Rafa just did since Rod Laver!

grafight , 10/8/10 4:20 AM


sorry about the double post. Also correction... Rafa is the first EVER to do what he just did: Win the French, Wimbledon and the US Open in the same year... in 3 surfaces.

grafight , 10/8/10 4:23 AM


deuce - admittedly no rain at Wimbers this year, but you have to admit that the clay court season was COLD. Damp and 50 degrees are not exactly ideal playing conditions.

cherylmurray , 10/8/10 2:36 PM


Must be hell trying to predict small tournament results after a major. Who's tired, who's hurt, who's slumping, who's gotten motivated, who gives a d___?

Ramara , 10/8/10 5:36 PM


Ah cheryl, haven't u noticed since new roof installed, NO rain at Wimbledon...;)

deuce , 10/9/10 8:17 AM


I watched the highlights of the Nadal-Garcia Lopez match and thought Rafa played fine, didn't seem tired to me, I just though credit to Lopez who played a fantastic match, played like a top ten player not like a player ranked 35!

rbennett , 10/12/10 11:02 PM


Your article about "Post-US Open tennis remains as unpredictable as ever" was interesting.

BasilValentine , 10/13/10 9:09 AM


Rafa played OK against GGL in the first set, but went on to become too defensive and his break point conversion was horrible beyond words. One break taken in the second set and we won't be talking about GGL now, and we'll be happy that Rafa won two out of three tournaments played during this Asian swing. (sorry no disrespect to Niminen). Rafa wasn't physicallly tired but more of a mental fatigue. We know Rafa plays with high intensity and mental focus, all this would take a toll on him mentally, especially after such a fantastic season he had so far this year. That's the way Rafa plays and I don't think he can change it, though I believe with improvements in his game every year and new weapons added to his arsenal, he'll be able to finish his matches a lot quicker than before and the mental toll would be reduced according. His mental strength, his focus and his consistency during a match are what make him so special; just like Fed's easy fluid style is Fed's trademark. I prefer Rafa's intensity and his competitive spirit over any other qualities of other players. Why? Because I never see Rafa giving up, unlike some other players, when they are 1-5 down for example, they'll most likely give up on the set or even the match and stop fighting, and that is basically unpleasant to watch for a spectator. Rafa will fight till the end and won or lose, he brings lots of pleasure for those watching.

luckystar , 10/16/10 8:10 AM


luckystar, you've said it in a nutshell.

Rafa was mentally exhausted. He just lost his intense focus in the 2 matches he has lost recently, and I don't think they were on his list of things to do. His next target is the WTF, if he bags that title this year, he'll be a happy man. Being the kind soul that he is, he doesn't want to win every single title going, so he tries to spread it out a bit. Lol

You could tell that he was playing the Asian season because he had to, at least he did not leave empty handed. He kept saying I've only got 3 tournaments left this season.

As long as he starts 2011 with a bang, he'll be on track to keep his No1 ranking at the end of 2011, and there is the calendar slam to go for.

nadline , 10/16/10 10:08 AM


I agree with nadline and luckystar. It was always going to be tough for Rafa to try to play the Asian swing after his great win at the USO. How do you follow something like that? On another tennis forum, someone said they felt that Rafa's season ended with his USO win.

I am proud of Rafa for getting the win in Tokyo! It was very obvious that he was battling mental fatigue throughout these tournaments. After the loss to G-Lo, Rafa fought his heart out not to lose to Troicki. Then he came out strong in the final to beat Monfils.

I hope that Rafa can do well at the WTF. That would be a nice exclamation mark to what has been an unbelievable year.

The big prize is the 2011 AO. If Rafa can manage to win that, then he will make the kind of history that will put him among the greatest to ever play the game.

Nativenewyorker , 10/16/10 8:16 PM


I like the WTF prediction Cheryl. Brave but not foolhardy. But does he still have enough left in the tank after playing so many singles and doubles tournaments?

ed251137 , 11/1/10 11:32 AM


Yes, cheryl a brave pick and Meltzer has certainly had a gr8 year..but...even if he makes WTF, agree with ed., he looked tanked against AHM.

deuce , 11/1/10 1:22 PM



Write comment

You have to be logged in to comment. If you do not have an account, click here to register. It only takes a minute and you'll be redirected back to this page.
Username:

Password:

Archive

Wed 09/05 14:58
Novak Djokovic takes up skating at the Madrid ice rink

Thu 29/03 14:30
Nadal and Spain give French TV a punch in the mouth

Mon 19/03 13:56
And Roger Federer is BACK

Mon 30/01 15:12
Djokovic and Nadal’s Aussie Open final, the best tennis has to offer

Sun 22/01 02:28
Adding insult to injury, Nalbandian fined

Tue 17/01 02:06
Nadal voices displeasure at Federer's inaction

Wed 11/01 14:41
Mardy Fish has gone off the rails

Sat 17/12 20:39
2011, the tennis year in review

Tue 22/11 17:46
Yannick Noah out for some Spanish blood

Thu 03/11 14:40
Nadal bails on Paris Masters again

Sun 09/10 22:00
The post-US Open blues

Sat 10/09 16:52
Wozniacki and Serena battle for bragging rights

Wed 07/09 15:40
Where US Open rain stops, scheduling paranoia begins

Tue 16/08 19:29
US Open scandal brewing

Wed 10/08 17:22
A less Maestro-like Federer gets ignored View all posts

Unibet Mobile prematch,live betting

Unibet Mobile betting Unibet Mobile betting

Scan QR code to access Unibet mobile.
Bet on Sports wherever you are and whenever you like, with Unibet's quick and simple mobile client you can place bets, check results and see live odds.
 For more info about QR codes & scanners click here.

ATP Calendar

Date
Tournament
13 May
Rome

Italy, Italy

Draw & Results
Draw
20 May
World Team Cup

Dusseldorf, Germany

20 May
Nice

France , France

27 May
French Open

Paris, France

Recommend Tennistalk



Register for newsletter:

Follow us

Follow Tennistalk on Facebook Follow Tennistalk on Twitter

Poll

Will Roger Federer take back the No. 1 ranking this year?
Yes
No

Poll archive

Articles - Latest commented

Blog - Latest commented

Tell a friend

Your name:

Friend's name:

Friend's email:

Other tennis links